Dorian Hurricane has made its way to Florida after passing Puerto Rico, but what will the Dorian Hurricane do in Florida and the Southeast US? The hurricane is expected to approach the coast of Florida next weekend as power decreases to Category 3 hurricane.
On Monday, Hurricane Dorian crashed into the Abacos Islands in the Bahamas as a strangely powerful Category 5 hurricane, with howling winds in excess of 185 mph and with gusts up to 220 mph. The storm carried with it a surge of 18-to-23 feet above the normal wave.
Forecasts for this hurricane tell that it will pass the coast of Florida to the states of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina too.
Dorian is supposed to be the second-most strong hurricane ever documented in the Atlantic Ocean and ties the record for the most powerful hurricane to make landfall, according to what the National Weather Service says.
Category 3 Hurricane Dorian has placed itself over the northwestern Bahamas since Sunday night, unleashing a horror 24-hour attack of devastating storm surge, destructive winds, and blinding rain. With Dorian perched perilously close to the Florida peninsula, Monday night into the first part of Tuesday has become the important time that is possible to determine whether the state is dealt a powerful punch or a less intense scrape.
The hurricane Dorian will do its work destructive. The storm decreased slightly and was moving through Grand Bahama Island on Monday, with winds gusting over 200 mph and 18 to 23 feet of coastal flooding. Plus, the forward action of the storm almost delayed, moving west at just 1 mph. The slower a storm moves, the more time it has to damage areas in its path. It’s a worst-case scenario for a hurricane.
In its 2 a.m. bulletin Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center wrote that Dorian will “move dangerously close to the Florida east coast” late Tuesday into Wednesday evening, then up the coast to North Carolina by late Thursday.
Because of it, the National Hurricane Center has announced hurricane, storm surge, and tropic storm watches and alerts from the Atlantic coast of Florida northward into South Carolina. Storm surge leads to the storm-driven rise in ocean water above normally dry land.
“The warning of damaging winds and life-threatening storm surge remains high,” the National Weather Service office in Melbourne, Fla., composed. “There will be considerable impacts and damage to coastal areas, with at least some effects felt inland as well!”
Dangerous storm consequences are expected in coastal Georgia and the Carolinas in the middle and latter half of the week as Dorian picks up speed and heads north.
After it passes through the Bahamas, the storm’s track becomes more uncertain. The storm will not currently do landfall in Florida, based on what is expected, but instead, to stay uncomfortably close offshore. Nevertheless, the NHC warns that even tiny changes to the forecast can cause strongly dangerous situations to the coast.
”Although the center of Dorian is forecast to move near, parallel to, the Florida east coast, only a small deviation of the track toward the west would bring the core of the hurricane onshore,” the NHC stated.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration are predicting that Dorian will do hit the central east coast of Florida as a Category 4 storm. Hurricane Dorian is a meteorologically challenging storm to predict.
Friday morning, Dorian was a Category 2 in the eastern Caribbean barreling toward the northern Bahaman Islands and central Florida.
The hurricane warnings posted in Florida are focused on the time from Monday night through early Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds began Monday evening in seaside South Florida and should reach north Tuesday. These winds are expected to last into Wednesday, possibly reaching hurricane-force strength late Tuesday or Wednesday depending on how close to the coast Dorian tracks.
Some computer models show the center of Dorian coming closest to the northern half of Florida’s east coast Tuesday night into Wednesday, when conditions may become most hazardous.
Hurricane Dorian remaining off the coasts would still do dangerous damage. Dorian’s hurricane-force winds extend 45 miles outward from its eye, taking with them rough surf, coastal flooding, high winds, and rain. Tropical-storm-force winds reach 150 miles from the center.
Repeatedly, it’s likely Dorian could make landfall. To prepare, some counties along the Florida coast have issued or may issue, evacuation orders for certain residents.
“Hurricanes move like pebbles in a river,” replies Philip Klotzbach, a meteorologist at Colorado State University. “If the winds at mid-level are weak, there’s not much to push the storm along.”
While the storm system moved over the Caribbean, it nearly avoided some of the more mountainous areas that could have interrupted the storm’s momentum. The Caribbean Sea houses a pocket of seasonal dry air at this time of year too; leaving that dry air means the storm will be stoked and likely increase thanks to the hot, moist air in the Atlantic.
Dorian will also be affected by a weather system called the Bermuda High, a high-pressure system that sits over the Atlantic throughout the summer and beginning fall. Klotzbach says the Bermuda High is forecast to extend southward and westward and could act like a wall pushing Hurricane Dorian into the U.S. East Coast.
Forecast models pinpoint central Florida as the most probable area for the storm to make landfall, but there’s a little possibility it could change course and move up the East Coast.
“Pretty much anywhere from Florida to North Carolina could get it,” tells Klotzbach.
Hurricane Dorian may hit Georgia and the Carolinas as a significant hurricane before going farther up the coast. But the dangers of a major hurricane increase well beyond the wind. The wind could bring several inches of rain or more for parts of Florida and the Southeast. Here’s the newest rain prediction map.
“If the storm slows down after landfall, that could dump a lot of rain. That will make things even worse,” declares Jayantha Obeysekera, the director of the Sea Level Solutions Center.
He also says recent rains have previously saturated the amount of groundwater that can be absorbed in many parts of Florida. Storm waves will probably be more dangerous because of a natural happening called king tides, where tides are particularly high when the moon is nearest to Earth.